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Correlation between PB and MMReply
Here are the probabilities of having matching numbers between the Powerball and Mega Millions in any single draw comparison. Match Probability % Probability 0 0.614966794212 61.4966794212 1 0.327109996921 32.7109996921 2 0.054518332820 5.4518332820 3 0.003337857111 0.3337857111 4 0.000066757142 0.0066757142 5 0.000000261793 0.0000261793 Total 1.000000000000 100.0000000000
Nov 29, 2006, 7:42 am - JADELottery - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $36M. The advertised annuity is now $74M. Eighth round jackpots sell on average, 18.6M tickets. If this is the number of tickets that sell on this drawing the randomized probability of a rollover will be as follows: 088.02% 111.23% 20.72% 30.03% Note that the last time, in error, I posted the long term probability starting from an eighth draw and not a seventh. Thus the correct long term model
Nov 26, 2006, 9:13 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has rolled over. The cash value is $31.1M; the advertised annuity is $64M. Seventh draws on average sell $17.2M in tickets. If this is the number of tickets that sell, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 088.91% 110.45% 20.61% 30.02% The function that I use to model long term probabilities suggests the following, ignoring minimums and caps: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value
Nov 23, 2006, 12:19 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball Jackpot has rolled. The cash jackpot is $21.5M, the advertised annuity is $45M. Fifth round drawing sell 15.8M tickets on average. If sales of average, he is the randomized probability of various numbers of winners: 089.75% 19.71% 20.52% 30.02% The long term model suggests the following for jackpot evolution: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSingle Draw Rollover ProbabilityOverall Probabil
Nov 16, 2006, 8:10 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has rolled. The cash jackpot is $16.9M. The advertised annuity is $35M. The average sales for a fourth drawing are $15.5M. If the average number of tickets sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is: 089.96% 19.52% 20.50% 30.02% The mixed linear/exponential model function suggests jackpot evolution as follows: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSingle Draw R
Nov 12, 2006, 7:38 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is $9.4M. The advertised annuity value is $20M. Second round jackpots on average sell 14.3M in tickets. If this number of tickets is sold for this draw, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners will be as follows: 090.30% 19.21% 20.47% 30.02% The long term modelling function suggests the following: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSi
Nov 9, 2006, 1:08 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is $9.4M. The advertised annuity value is $20M. Second round jackpots on average sell 14.3M in tickets. If this number of tickets is sold for this draw, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners will be as follows: 090.65% 18.90% 20.44% 30.01% My mixed linear exponential model for long term probability of this run's continuance is as follows: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCa
Nov 5, 2006, 1:45 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has had two winners. The jackpot is reset at $7.1M cash, $15M advertised annuity. The average sales for a first drawing is $14.6M. If this draw sells at the average value the probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 090.46% 19.07% 20.45% 30.02% The long term jackpot evolution model program predicts the following evolution exclusive of reserves, minimums and caps: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculat
Nov 2, 2006, 5:00 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is now $13.2M; the advertised annuity is $27.0M Third drawings average $14.9M. If this is the number of tickets that sell on the next drawing, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 090.30% 19.21% 20.47% 30.02% The modeling program I use to estimate long term probabilities suggests the following jackpot evolution, ignoring reserves, minimums and caps: Average Historical A
Oct 8, 2006, 1:23 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has rolled over. The cash jackpot is $9.7M, the advertised annuity $20M. Sales on second round drawings average $14.0M. If average sales are obtained the distribution of probable numbers of winners is as follows: 090.46% 19.07% 20.45% 30.02% The projection model is as follows: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSingle Draw Rollover ProbabilityOverall Probability from baseline $560,640,221.97$271,91
Oct 5, 2006, 8:01 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum