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Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
The Powerball has rolled over. The cash jackpot is $32.7M, the advertised annuity jackpot is $73M. The average sales for 6th drawing is $15.9M. If this is how many tickets are sold, the probabilities for various numbers of winners will be as follows:
089.69%
19.76%
20.53%
30.02%
The mixed linear/exponential function gives the following model, ignoring caps and reserves, for jackpot evolution is as follows:
Average Jackpots$604,123,614.19$267,398,97726.06%0
Jun 8, 2006, 7:46 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
Powerball has rolled. The cash jackpot is $44.7M The advertised annuity jackpot is $100M.
Since the matrix change, 9th draws in a series have sold 18.7M tickets on average. If this is how many tickets are sold, the probability of various numbers of winners is as follows:
087.99%
111.26%
20.72%
30.03%
The mixed linear/exponential model (switch to exponential at draw 13) suggests the following long term probabilities for jackpot evolution, ignoring caps and reserves, will
May 11, 2006, 7:01 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
Powerball has rolled. The cash jackpot is $32.6M. The annuity jackpot is $73M.
Since the matrix change, 7th draws in a series have sold 16.3M tickets on average. If this is how many tickets are sold, the probability of various numbers of winners is as follows:
089.44%
19.98%
20.56%
30.02%
The mixed linear/exponential model (switch to exponential at draw 13) suggests the following long term probabilities for jackpot evolution, ignoring caps and reserves, will apply for th
May 4, 2006, 6:50 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
MM and PB predictions 2006
Powerball results 4/29: 19-30-35-40-41 + 14
Top honors this draw:
Lottomike with a 0+1 call
PB Jackpot for 5/3 has rolled to 61 million
If the season had ended today, here are the Lottery Post awards:
Best predictor in a single draw is currently 4+1: anonymous77 with 2
4+0 award: LOTTOMIKE with 3
3+1 award: Konane and Xsmega with 2
3+0 award: Xsmega with 11
2+1 award: Konane, MADDOG10, and LOTTOMIKE with 3
1+1 award: Xs
Apr 30, 2006, 1:19 am - Just6ntlc - Jackpot Games Forum
Powerball Annuity Makes Good Sense
Hey Uncle Jim,
That story you refer to reminds me of the title of Toby Keith's newest country CD.
It wasn't the annuity that failed them. It was the way they filed their tax returns that cooked their goose.
Plus, they were virtually dead broke the day they bought their winning ticket. It's stupid to use one's food and gas money to buy lottery tickets. And as the comedian Ron Wyatt says, "You can't fix stupid."
Let's say a person wins a $100,000,000 jackpot and takes the cash.
He w
Apr 20, 2006, 7:05 am - sfilippo - Jackpot Games Forum
Powerball Annuity Makes Good Sense
Oh this is classic!
It'll come as no surprise to anyone that I think the Powerball annuity makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. But just for kicks let's take the points one by one:
1. It forces you to stick to a budget.
Please refer to the story on Lottery Post about the family in Florida who was recently arrested for tax fraud. THEY took the annuity.
2. The kids and family will be well aware that there is an annual limit of funds.
See the same story.
3. The annuity can be
Apr 20, 2006, 12:44 am - Uncle Jim - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.
The Megamillions has rolled over. The cash value is $a48.9M the annuity value is $265M. The cash value is higher than Powerball's and I doubt that Powerball will catch up again in this run. The previous jackpot reached a cash value of $126.7M, and I did slightly better at my prediction than MM did for cash value size.
As before, the lottery continues to rise as if it had skipped a drawing. The jackpot/sales were more consistent with a 14th drawing than a 13th drawing. I will therefore
Apr 15, 2006, 6:59 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.
The Megamillions has rolled over. The cash value is $125M the annuity value is $220M. The cash value is higher than Powerball's and I doubt that Powerball will catch up again in this run. The previous jackpot reached a cash value of $107.7M, which is close to what MM predicted and less than I predicted
As before, the lottery continues to rise as if it had skipped a drawing. The jackpot/sales were more consistent with a 13th drawing than a 12th drawing. I will therefore treat this upcom
Apr 12, 2006, 6:03 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.
The Megamillions has rolled over. The cash value is $107.3M the annuity value is $189M. The cash value is higher than Powerball's and I doubt that Powerball will catch up again in this run. The previous jackpot reached a cash value of $92.9M
As before, the lottery continues to rise as if it had skipped a drawing. The jackpot/sales were more consistent with a 12th drawing than a 11th drawing. I will therefore treat this upcoming drawing as a 13th drawing statistically rather than as if
Apr 8, 2006, 8:23 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
WIN LOTTERY EVERYDAY
POWERBALL REPORT SOLARIS RESULTS JANUARY 8 winners 7 17 28 40 45 PBALL 2
SOLARIS supplies seven lists including REDCAT YELLOWDOG SKYBLUE EASYGREEN ORANGE BLACKTOP SUAS
RED CAT WINNERS 7 27+ 45 YELLOW 40 3- 18- COMBO 3 18 8 was not good report
SOLAR YELLOW play 3 40 18 38 did get close to 4 numbers
DATE DIGITS 1 8 23 9 32 5 14 4 as sum 58/13/4 rows count 011195 14 143335 58
11 2 12 22 4 24 15 26 27 18 RED eye = winners 27 2 15 as 45 18- as 17
OUR SOLARIS SUAS: l
Jan 9, 2024, 7:12 am - paneagle - Jackpot Games Forum